and deciphering the difference between median and average prices and real and nominal values.<\/span><\/p>\nYeah \u2013 I\u2019m trying to impress you. But seriously, I found that this was a lot more fascinating than I\u2019d ever imagined. And of course, it affects all of us in some way if we\u2019re living somewhere with a roof over our heads.<\/span><\/p>\nSo (I can\u2019t believe it!) I\u2019ve written a page on <\/span>housing statistics<\/span>!<\/span><\/p>\nI hope you enjoy it and read it through to the end (and then let me know if you can\u2019t believe that either!)\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\nOh, by the way, that statistic about the $30 trillion was a freebie \u2013 so there really are 32 statistics for you to think about!<\/span>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_custom_heading text=”Incredible Housing Stats (Editor\u2019s Choice)” font_container=”tag:h2|text_align:center” use_theme_fonts=”yes”][vc_column_text]<\/p>\n\n- In real terms, the average price for new homes in 2018 is the same as in 2005<\/span><\/li>\n
- There is no state where a minimum wage worker working 40 hours a week can afford an average 2-bedroom apartment<\/span><\/li>\n
- Housing statistics by zip code<\/span> give a clue to housing affordability<\/span><\/li>\n
- Median rent prices range from $721 in South Dakota to $1,847 in California<\/span><\/li>\n
- The median net worth of homeowners is 90 times that of renters<\/span><\/li>\n
- In 2018, renters in the US spent more on housing than the GDP of 145 countries<\/span><\/li>\n
- Buyers may need up to 96% of their incomes to service their mortgages<\/span><\/li>\n
- African American housing statistics<\/span> show that Black ownership rates are no better than they were 30 years ago<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_custom_heading text=”Housing Price Statistics” font_container=”tag:h3|text_align:center” use_theme_fonts=”yes”][vc_column_text]The price of housing is important, not just for affordability, but also from the point of view of an owner\u2019s net worth. But <\/span>housing market statistics<\/span> should be read with a bit of caution, so you will see that I have done a bit of analysis here and there to highlight where all may not be as it seems at first glance.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\nLet\u2019s start by building on the freebie statistic:\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n1. One year\u2019s growth in the value of the USA housing market is equal to the GDP of Canada.\u00a0<\/span><\/h4>\n(Zillow; <\/span><\/i>Housingwire.com)<\/span><\/i><\/p>\nBy the end of 2017, the total value of all US housing was $31.8 trillion \u2013 1.5 times the GDP of the US and nearly 3 times that of China.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\nIt grew by nearly $2 trillion in 2018, taking the value to $33.3 trillion. The growth alone matches the GDP of Canada.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\nThe value of houses in large US cities might surprise you:\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n2. In 2017, the value of homes in Los Angeles was equal to the GDP of the UK, and in New York more than\u00a0 the GDP of France\u00a0<\/span><\/h4>\n(Zillow)<\/span><\/i><\/p>\nIn 2017, the value of homes in Los Angeles was $2.7 trillion. This matched the GDP of the UK. Similarly, in New York, the house value was $2.6 trillion \u2013 close to the GDP of France.<\/span><\/p>\n(Some GDP numbers I\u2019ve seen don\u2019t exactly match this stat \u2013 but you get the point.)<\/span><\/p>\nOk. Now let\u2019s start looking at the numbers on a more granular level.<\/p>\n
3.<\/span> On a national level, the average price of a new home has grown from $21 thousand in 1965 to $385 thousand in 2018.<\/span><\/h4>\n(Statista)<\/span><\/i><\/p>\nA change from $21 thousand in 1965 to $385 thousand in 2018 looks like an astounding growth of over 17000%!\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\nHowever, this is the so-called \u201cnominal\u201d price and does not take into account the value of the dollar in 2018 or the inflation rate. When these are factored in, we find that $21 thousand in 1965 is the equivalent of just under $166 thousand in 2018. This means that the \u201creal\u201d price of a new house in the US has increased from $166 thousand to $385 thousand \u2013 an increase of 132%.<\/span><\/p>\nRemember that I said we should be careful of real vs. nominal prices?<\/span><\/p>\nHere\u2019s another difference in statistics you should be on the look-out for:<\/span><\/p>\n4.<\/span> Real estate prices<\/span> in September 2019 show new homes averaged $362,700. The median price was $299,400.<\/span><\/h4>\nUS Census<\/span><\/i>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\nWe know how to work out the average. Add up the prices and divide by the number of houses sold. So, for September, the average (also sometimes called the mean) price of a new home was $362,700.<\/span><\/p>\nThe median is calculated by listing all the sale prices from highest to lowest and finding the sales price in the center. For September 2019, this means that there were the same number of sales above the center-point of R299,400 as there were below it.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\nThe median is often used for <\/span>housing statistics<\/span> because it is more stable and is not easily affected by outlier prices.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\nHere\u2019s another tricky statistic:<\/span><\/p>\n5. US Housing statistics show that US house prices have recovered from the 2008 crash and now exceed the highs of 2006.\u00a0<\/span><\/h4>\n(Statista)<\/span><\/i><\/p>\nThe Case Shiller National Home Price Index gives a value of 100 to house prices in 2000. In 2006 the index value was 183 \u2013 that is, prices had increased by 83% since 2000. The values then dropped to reach a low of 135 in 2011. By 2016 the index value was back up to 184 and in 2018 had increased to 205.<\/span><\/p>\nBy now, you’ll know that I’m going to throw in a question here: What happens when we look at real prices rather than nominal prices?\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n6. In real terms, the average price for new homes in 2018 is the same as in 2005<\/span><\/h4>\n(Statista, <\/span><\/i>Calculator.net)<\/span><\/i><\/p>\nThe Statista data we used earlier showed that, in nominal terms, the average price for new houses was $297 thousand in 2005 and $385 thousand in 2018.<\/span><\/p>\nIn real terms, the equivalent of $297 thousand in 2005 is $385 thousand in 2018. (I was surprised when it worked out like this!) This means that the real average price in 2018 is the same as it was in 2005.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\nSo there\u2019s no doubt that house prices have recovered since the crash, but perhaps we are not \u201cexceeding\u201d them by as much as we might have thought.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\nWhat\u2019s more, there is a bit of a caution provided by a different <\/span>housing index<\/span>:<\/span><\/p>\n7. <\/span>US housing trends<\/span> show that Q2 2019 house prices increased by 5% over the previous year, but the pace is slowing.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/h4>\n(FHFA)<\/span><\/i>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\nTrends in repeat sales show that:<\/span><\/p>\n\n- The increase of 5% in the second quarter of 2019 was a continuation of an eight-year run of increased prices<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
But<\/span><\/p>\n\n- The pace of increase in home prices had decelerated for five consecutive quarters<\/span><\/li>\n
- The pace of home sales had slowed over the past two years.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
This slowing pace was attributed to constraints in affordability as well as limited availability of inventory.<\/span><\/p>\nSo, let\u2019s look at <\/span>what qualifies as affordable housing.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n8. <\/span>Housing price statistics by state<\/span> show that there is <\/span>no state<\/span> where a minimum wage worker working 40 hours a week can afford an average 2-bedroom apartment.<\/span><\/h4>\n(Statista)<\/span><\/i><\/p>\nHouseholds need an hourly wage of $34.69 to afford a two-bedroom apartment in California.<\/span><\/p>\nIt\u2019s even more in Hawaii: $36.82. Massachusetts, District of Columbia and New York are right behind \u2013 all needing a minimum wage above $30. The lowest required in Puerto Rica at $9.59, followed by Arkansas at $14,26.<\/span><\/p>\nThe recent vote in Congress to more than double the current minimum wage of $7.25 to $15 by 2025 would still not be enough. If that rate were in place today, only workers in Alabama, Kentucky, Mississippi, West Virginia, Arkansas and Puerto Rica would be able to afford an apartment.<\/span><\/p>\nThose are scary statistics!\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\nSo, <\/span>what percentage of housing is affordable<\/span>?\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n9. <\/span>Housing statistics by zip code<\/span> show the regions where you will find <\/span>affordable housing<\/span><\/h4>\n(Trulia)<\/span><\/i><\/p>\nThe Trulia research looked at how affordable certain areas are for typical local buyers, earning that area\u2019s median income. Here are some of the results:<\/span><\/p>\n\n- In the metros of San Francisco, San Jose, Los Angeles, San Diego, Portland, Ore., Miami and Tampa: they have the highest number of zip codes where no homes (zero) can be considered reasonably affordable. In San Francisco, more than 25% of zip codes fell into this category.<\/span><\/li>\n
- Metros of Pittsburgh, Columbus. Ohio and St Louis: highest number of zip codes where \u201call homes (100%) are affordable\u201d. In Pittsburgh, all homes were affordable in 22.4% of zip codes.<\/span><\/li>\n
- Zip codes further than 30 miles from the city center and zip codes where houses were older than 20 years also tended to be the most affordable.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
[\/vc_column_text][vc_column_text]The good news here is that there are places in the USA, even in metros, that <\/span>qualify as affordable housing.<\/span>[\/vc_column_text][vc_single_image image=”2223″ img_size=”large” alignment=”center”][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_custom_heading text=”Housing Types” font_container=”tag:h3|text_align:center” use_theme_fonts=”yes”][vc_column_text]There are many <\/span>types of houses in the USA<\/span>, depending on the definitions you are using. Let\u2019s look at some of them:\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n10. Over 60% of all housing units in the US are detached single-family homes and they also account for 82% of all sales.\u00a0<\/span><\/h4>\n(Statista; <\/span><\/i>Infoplease.com – based on US Census data)<\/span><\/i><\/p>\nHow many residential homes are there in the US?<\/span> In 2018 there were 138.45 million.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\nBut the favorite for Americans is the detached single-family home. <\/span>The number of single-family homes in the US<\/span> is close to 70 million. They make up more than 60% of the total housing units. In 2018, they also made up 82% of all sales.<\/span><\/p>\n11. The increase in the inventory of starter and trade-up homes in Q1 of 2019 might be bad news.<\/span><\/h4>\n(Trulia)<\/span><\/i><\/p>\nGenerally, <\/span>US housing data<\/span> reflects types of housing units as starter, trade-up and premium.<\/span><\/p>\nThere has been an increase in the inventory of starter and trade-up homes in Q1 of 2019. There is also an increase in the number of premium homes available on the West Coast \u2013 and especially in San Jose, California. Rather than this being an indicator of a growth in the number of homes for sale, it seems to be an indicator of lower demand. There are fewer buyers where house prices have escalated, and the homes are sitting on the market for longer, inflating the inventory counts.<\/span><\/p>\nThere\u2019s another type of house that is often overlooked, but which has potential <\/span>housing economic<\/span> value:<\/span><\/p>\n12. <\/span>Student or college housing statistics<\/span> show 2.66 million beds for students in 2018<\/span><\/h4>\n(Statista)<\/span><\/i><\/p>\nPurpose-built student accommodation (PBSA) units provided 2.66 million beds for students in 2018. This number is expected to increase to 2.84 million by 2021.<\/span><\/p>\nThese units may be on or off-campus and are studios or large apartments with facilities for students to share. Most students (63%) rent a private room rather than a full studio.<\/span><\/p>\n